Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Ek wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 61.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 52.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Ek
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
19
(35 meetings)
16
19
Ek
Eller
Last 10: Ek 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
6
4
Ek
Eller
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
6
Ek
Eller
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
7
9
Ek
Eller
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (6,674)
51.1% (10,296)
-3.8%
Power Play
55.2% (1,494)
52.8% (621)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (1,168)
46.7% (1,751)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Ek is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,096).
Ek shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Ek
Eller
Home
48.6% (4,644)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
46.9% (4,692)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Ek
Eller
P1
46.6%
51.2%
P2
49.4%
50.1%
P3
46.7%
50.2%
OT
53.8%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |