Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs Eller 49.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 64.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.1%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.2%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Ek
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Ek
Eller
Last 9: Ek 4-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Ek
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
3
2
Ek
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (920)
51.1% (786)
-3.1%
Power Play
52.0% (302)
45.0% (80)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (243)
43.6% (165)
-3.3%
On power play, Ek has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Ek is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Ek shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Ek
Eller
Home
49.1% (740)
51.2% (510)
Away
46.1% (725)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Ek
Eller
P1
47.6%
50.7%
P2
48.9%
49.0%
P3
45.4%
48.3%
OT
60.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |