Joel Eriksson Ek vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Barzal 41.4% (+9.6%)
Offensive zone
Ek 50.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 53.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.0%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Ek
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (671)
40.4% (456)
+7.3%
Power Play
54.9% (206)
34.2% (38)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (155)
28.6% (7)
+20.4%
On power play, Ek has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Ek is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Ek shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Ek
Barzal
Home
50.3% (565)
38.0% (242)
Away
48.2% (467)
41.3% (259)
By Period
Ek
Barzal
P1
47.4%
46.6%
P2
54.3%
35.4%
P3
46.2%
38.0%
OT
51.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%