Joel Eriksson Ek vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Barzal 41.4% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
Ek 50.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 51.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Ek
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
40.4% (463)
+6.8%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
34.2% (38)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
28.6% (7)
+19.2%
On power play, Ek has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Ek shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Ek
Barzal
Home
49.9% (693)
38.1% (244)
Away
47.2% (568)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Ek
Barzal
P1
46.2%
46.6%
P2
52.6%
35.7%
P3
46.5%
37.7%
OT
54.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%