Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Domi 50.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 54.4%
Defensive zone
Domi 51.7%
Neutral zone
Domi 54.0%
Result
Max Domi favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Ek
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ek
Domi
Last 5: Ek 3-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
2
1
Ek
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
50.4% (254)
-3.2%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
59.3% (27)
-5.5%
On power play, Domi has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Ek
Domi
Home
49.9% (693)
50.0% (174)
Away
47.2% (568)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Ek
Domi
P1
46.2%
45.7%
P2
52.6%
51.5%
P3
46.5%
57.3%
OT
54.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |