Joel Eriksson Ek vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs McCarron 52.7% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 20-14 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 83.4%
Defensive zone
Ek 50.6%
Neutral zone
Ek 65.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Ek
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
20
(34 meetings)
14
20
Ek
McCarron
Last 10: Ek 5-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
7
1
Ek
McCarron
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
11
Ek
McCarron
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
8
Ek
McCarron
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (6,674)
53.4% (2,901)
-6.1%
Power Play
55.2% (1,494)
45.3% (86)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (1,168)
50.5% (463)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Ek is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,240).
Ek shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Ek
McCarron
Home
48.6% (4,644)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
46.9% (4,692)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Ek
McCarron
P1
46.6%
53.9%
P2
49.4%
52.5%
P3
46.7%
52.0%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |