Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Frost 55.7% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 78.3%
Defensive zone
Ek 88.6%
Neutral zone
Ek 76.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Ek
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Ek
Frost
Last 10: Ek 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Ek
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
4
Ek
Frost
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
6
Ek
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
54.9% (701)
-7.7%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
60.8% (166)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
100.0% (5)
-52.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Ek
Frost
Home
49.9% (693)
56.0% (443)
Away
47.2% (568)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Ek
Frost
P1
46.2%
58.9%
P2
52.6%
55.3%
P3
46.5%
54.0%
OT
54.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |