Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Kadri 47.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 63.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 64.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Ek
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Ek
Kadri
Last 8: Ek 4-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Ek
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
47.4% (821)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
48.8% (86)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
38.5% (13)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Ek
Kadri
Home
49.9% (693)
46.6% (487)
Away
47.2% (568)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Ek
Kadri
P1
46.2%
52.7%
P2
52.6%
50.2%
P3
46.5%
40.2%
OT
54.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |