Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.5%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Kadri 49.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 63.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 67.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Ek
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Ek
Kadri
Last 8: Ek 4-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Ek
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (671)
49.4% (688)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.9% (206)
52.2% (67)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (155)
38.5% (13)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Ek is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Ek shoots left. Kadri is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Ek
Kadri
Home
50.3% (565)
49.1% (407)
Away
48.2% (467)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Ek
Kadri
P1
47.4%
56.4%
P2
54.3%
51.7%
P3
46.2%
41.4%
OT
51.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |