Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Acciari 51.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 84.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 77.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 53.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Ek
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Ek
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Ek
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
53.0% (285)
-5.8%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
31.3% (16)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
50.8% (183)
-3.0%
On power play, Ek has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Ek shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Ek
Acciari
Home
49.9% (693)
53.2% (267)
Away
47.2% (568)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Ek
Acciari
P1
46.2%
53.1%
P2
52.6%
51.1%
P3
46.5%
50.6%
OT
54.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |