Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Kelly 41.6% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 52.3%
Defensive zone
Ek 50.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 56.8%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Ek
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ek
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Ek
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
36.3% (157)
+10.9%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
0.0% (1)
+53.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
45.5% (11)
+2.3%
On power play, Ek has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Kelly is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Ek
Kelly
Home
49.9% (693)
35.9% (78)
Away
47.2% (568)
37.4% (91)
By Period
Ek
Kelly
P1
46.2%
34.3%
P2
52.6%
36.0%
P3
46.5%
40.4%
Final 5 min
44.2%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |