Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 46.6% vs Stastny 54.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 69.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 86.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 70.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Ek
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Ek
Stastny
Last 7: Ek 1-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Ek
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Ek
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (647)
53.6% (859)
-6.2%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
59.9% (202)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
38.4% (138)
55.1% (78)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ek is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Ek shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Ek
Stastny
Home
45.8% (432)
56.9% (596)
Away
46.6% (363)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Ek
Stastny
P1
47.0%
53.9%
P2
46.2%
56.2%
P3
45.1%
54.4%
OT
60.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
46.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |