Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Ek wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs Stastny 55.4% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 74.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 73.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 74.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Ek
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Ek
Stastny
Last 10: Ek 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Ek
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Ek
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (920)
59.2% (370)
-11.2%
Power Play
52.0% (302)
40.9% (44)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (243)
51.7% (58)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ek is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Ek shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Ek
Stastny
Home
49.1% (740)
57.7% (215)
Away
46.1% (725)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Ek
Stastny
P1
47.6%
57.7%
P2
48.9%
54.2%
P3
45.4%
57.7%
OT
60.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |