Joel Eriksson Ek vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.1%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 51.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 61.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 55.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Ek 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
3
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
47.6% (231)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
83.3% (12)
-29.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
33.3% (21)
+14.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.9% (693)
51.2% (164)
Away
47.2% (568)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.2%
50.0%
P2
52.6%
46.2%
P3
46.5%
49.5%
OT
54.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |