Joel Eriksson Ek vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ek wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Ek 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
3
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (658)
48.1% (185)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.4% (204)
100.0% (2)
-44.6%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (151)
29.4% (17)
+20.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Ek is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (702).
Ek shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.3% (565)
49.2% (128)
Away
48.0% (448)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.3%
51.4%
P2
54.4%
41.9%
P3
46.0%
49.2%
OT
51.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |