Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 46.7%). Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs Gagner 47.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 72.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 62.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 52.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Ek
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ek
Gagner
Last 5: Ek 3-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
0
Ek
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Ek
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Ek
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (920)
51.3% (158)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.0% (302)
66.7% (36)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (243)
33.6% (110)
+6.7%
On power play, Gagner has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Ek is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (523).
Ek shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Ek
Gagner
Home
49.1% (740)
53.2% (154)
Away
46.1% (725)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Ek
Gagner
P1
47.6%
35.6%
P2
48.9%
52.7%
P3
45.4%
51.9%
OT
60.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |