Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Ek wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs Steel 50.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 50.5%
Defensive zone
Ek 52.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 53.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Ek
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Ek
Steel
Last 10: Ek 5-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
3
4
Ek
Steel
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
4
3
Ek
Steel
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (6,674)
50.6% (2,876)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.2% (1,494)
62.6% (179)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (1,168)
37.4% (254)
+2.8%
On power play, Steel has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Ek is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,096).
Ek shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Ek
Steel
Home
48.6% (4,644)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
46.9% (4,692)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Ek
Steel
P1
46.6%
51.9%
P2
49.4%
49.5%
P3
46.7%
49.6%
OT
53.8%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |