Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 76.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 70.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 53.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Ek
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ek
Kuraly
Last 7: Ek 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
0
Ek
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Ek
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
2
0
Ek
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
49.4% (445)
-1.7%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
100.0% (3)
-39.8%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
41.9% (117)
-0.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Ek
Kuraly
Home
48.3% (801)
49.2% (248)
Away
51.1% (801)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Ek
Kuraly
P1
50.2%
48.3%
P2
50.1%
44.7%
P3
49.3%
51.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |