Joel Eriksson Ek vs Trevor Zegras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Zegras 35.4% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 63.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 92.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 88.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Ek
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Ek
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Ek
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
0
Ek
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
29.6% (230)
+17.6%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
32.1% (56)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
100.0% (1)
-52.2%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Ek
Zegras
Home
49.9% (693)
30.6% (147)
Away
47.2% (568)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Ek
Zegras
P1
46.2%
33.0%
P2
52.6%
31.7%
P3
46.5%
25.6%
OT
54.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |