Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.7%). Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 60.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 53.4%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Ek
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Ek
Gourde
Last 8: Ek 3-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Ek
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Ek
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (926)
49.1% (847)
-0.7%
Power Play
55.4% (327)
79.5% (44)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (133)
39.5% (81)
+1.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Ek is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (817).
Ek shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Ek
Gourde
Home
50.1% (689)
50.1% (491)
Away
48.6% (697)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Ek
Gourde
P1
49.5%
54.7%
P2
49.3%
45.0%
P3
48.9%
49.4%
OT
53.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |