Joel Farabee vs Jonathan Marchessault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Farabee holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 48.0% vs Marchessault 45.9% (+10.7%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 56.2%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 50.6%
Neutral zone
Farabee 50.3%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Farabee
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
30.0% (30)
+14.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
66.7% (3)
-16.7%
On power play, Marchessault has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Farabee is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Farabee shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Farabee
Marchessault
Home
38.1% (21)
33.3% (21)
Away
48.3% (29)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Farabee
Marchessault
P1
56.5%
45.5%
P2
43.8%
25.0%
P3
18.2%
22.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
14.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
44.0%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%