Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Kellman wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kellman 48.1% vs Johnson 51.5% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Kellman 69.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 72.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.9%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Kellman
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kellman
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (275)
53.5% (434)
-7.0%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
80.0% (5)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
40.7% (81)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Kellman has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kellman is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Kellman shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Kellman
Johnson
Home
42.5% (146)
50.8% (252)
Away
52.4% (147)
52.6% (268)
By Period
Kellman
Johnson
P1
48.0%
52.1%
P2
53.3%
47.4%
P3
41.9%
56.4%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%