Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kellman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kellman wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kellman 48.1% vs Zajac 54.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 79.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 77.1%
Neutral zone
Zajac 78.3%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Kellman
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kellman
Zajac
Last 6: Kellman 4-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kellman
2
1
Kellman
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kellman
1
0
Kellman
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kellman
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kellman
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (275)
54.4% (9,056)
-7.9%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
59.1% (1,498)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
48.6% (1,599)
+1.4%
On power play, Kellman has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Kellman is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Kellman shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Kellman
Zajac
Home
42.5% (146)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
52.4% (147)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Kellman
Zajac
P1
48.0%
53.8%
P2
53.3%
55.6%
P3
41.9%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |