Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Tavares 54.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.3%
Defensive zone
Ward 61.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 64.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Ward
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Ward
Tavares
Last 10: Ward 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Ward
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
7
1
Ward
Tavares
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
54.0% (16,108)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
56.5% (4,283)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
50.6% (620)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Ward
Tavares
Home
50.3% (870)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
46.5% (921)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Ward
Tavares
P1
47.6%
55.0%
P2
47.5%
54.1%
P3
50.3%
54.1%
OT
30.8%
55.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |