Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 47.4% vs Drouin 43.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 60.4%
Defensive zone
Ward 72.7%
Neutral zone
Ward 55.4%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Ward
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ward
Drouin
Last 7: Ward 4-3 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
1
Ward
Drouin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Drouin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Drouin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (181)
41.5% (869)
+7.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
47.9% (167)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
40.0% (15)
-5.2%
On even strength, Ward has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Ward shoots right. Drouin is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Ward
Drouin
Home
40.7% (86)
42.8% (502)
Away
49.7% (145)
42.3% (549)
By Period
Ward
Drouin
P1
55.7%
44.0%
P2
43.0%
39.7%
P3
42.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.1%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |