Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Drouin 44.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 63.3%
Defensive zone
Ward 76.5%
Neutral zone
Ward 62.9%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Ward
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ward
Drouin
Last 7: Ward 4-3 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
1
Ward
Drouin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Drouin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Drouin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
43.5% (1,824)
+7.8%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
48.3% (387)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
39.1% (23)
-3.6%
On even strength, Ward has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Drouin is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (849).
Home / Away
Ward
Drouin
Home
50.3% (870)
44.0% (1,041)
Away
46.5% (921)
44.5% (1,193)
By Period
Ward
Drouin
P1
47.6%
45.9%
P2
47.5%
42.0%
P3
50.3%
45.0%
OT
30.8%
47.1%
Final 5 min
45.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |