Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.1% vs Martinook 44.9% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 72.1%
Defensive zone
Ward 52.4%
Neutral zone
Ward 70.1%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Ward
Martinook
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ward
Martinook
Last 6: Ward 4-2 Martinook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
0
Ward
Martinook
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
1
2
Ward
Martinook
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Martinook
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (339)
44.6% (818)
+8.2%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
47.1% (34)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
42.7% (185)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Martinook has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martinook shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Ward shoots right. Martinook is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Ward
Martinook
Home
53.4% (251)
48.1% (561)
Away
43.4% (205)
39.9% (476)
By Period
Ward
Martinook
P1
49.4%
46.6%
P2
46.9%
46.4%
P3
50.3%
40.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
38.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |