Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Martinook 45.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 63.7%
Defensive zone
Ward 65.0%
Neutral zone
Ward 65.3%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Ward
Martinook
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ward
Martinook
Last 6: Ward 4-2 Martinook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
0
Ward
Martinook
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
1
2
Ward
Martinook
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Martinook
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
46.7% (1,697)
+4.6%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
41.3% (63)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
39.4% (406)
-3.9%
On power play, Ward has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martinook shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Martinook is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (773).
Home / Away
Ward
Martinook
Home
50.3% (870)
46.8% (1,074)
Away
46.5% (921)
43.6% (1,092)
By Period
Ward
Martinook
P1
47.6%
44.9%
P2
47.5%
47.6%
P3
50.3%
43.1%
OT
30.8%
36.4%
Final 5 min
45.4%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |