Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 46.8% vs Goc 53.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 78.7%
Defensive zone
Ward 58.9%
Neutral zone
Ward 68.2%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Ward
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ward
Goc
Last 5: Ward 1-4 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
2
Ward
Goc
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Ward
Goc
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (80)
55.5% (881)
-0.5%
Power Play
43.9% (57)
54.3% (92)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (62)
45.8% (260)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Ward is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Ward shoots right. Goc is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Home / Away
Ward
Goc
Home
50.9% (114)
53.6% (552)
Away
37.6% (85)
53.2% (681)
By Period
Ward
Goc
P1
42.6%
54.6%
P2
38.5%
52.7%
P3
54.8%
52.9%
OT
28.6%
52.6%
Final 5 min
41.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
45.2%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 13, 2013 | OT | 03:22 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 3 | 00:05 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |