Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Goc 52.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 68.7%
Defensive zone
Ward 65.9%
Neutral zone
Ward 68.0%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Ward
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ward
Goc
Last 7: Ward 2-5 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Goc
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
3
Ward
Goc
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Ward
Goc
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
53.0% (3,301)
-1.7%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
58.0% (314)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
47.4% (728)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Home / Away
Ward
Goc
Home
50.3% (870)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
46.5% (921)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Ward
Goc
P1
47.6%
51.9%
P2
47.5%
53.1%
P3
50.3%
52.4%
OT
30.8%
44.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 13, 2013 | OT | 03:22 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 3 | 00:05 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Joel Ward |