Scouting Report
Nicholas Shore holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Shore 50.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Shore 71.5%
Defensive zone
Shore 74.6%
Neutral zone
Shore 71.6%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Ward
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Ward
Shore
Last 10: Ward 7-3 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Shore
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
4
0
Ward
Shore
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
2
3
Ward
Shore
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
51.8% (2,455)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
56.3% (64)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
43.1% (297)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Shore has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Ward shoots right. Shore is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (851).
Home / Away
Ward
Shore
Home
50.3% (870)
52.0% (1,391)
Away
46.5% (921)
49.9% (1,425)
By Period
Ward
Shore
P1
47.6%
50.6%
P2
47.5%
51.2%
P3
50.3%
50.7%
OT
30.8%
73.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Joel Ward |