Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Backstrom 50.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 59.1%
Defensive zone
Ward 69.5%
Neutral zone
Ward 57.2%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Ward
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Ward
Backstrom
Last 10: Ward 5-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
6
Ward
Backstrom
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
1
Ward
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
50.4% (11,581)
+0.9%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
52.3% (1,895)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
47.0% (889)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Home / Away
Ward
Backstrom
Home
50.3% (870)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
46.5% (921)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Ward
Backstrom
P1
47.6%
50.1%
P2
47.5%
49.7%
P3
50.3%
51.6%
OT
30.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2017 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |