Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 91.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 75.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 84.3%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 81.7%
18.3%
81.7%
Ward
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Ward
Bergeron
Last 10: Ward 6-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
3
Ward
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
7
1
Ward
Bergeron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Ward
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
60.1% (13,938)
-8.8%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
60.8% (3,213)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
53.0% (2,776)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Ward shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
Ward
Bergeron
Home
50.3% (870)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
46.5% (921)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Ward
Bergeron
P1
47.6%
59.3%
P2
47.5%
60.0%
P3
50.3%
58.6%
OT
30.8%
57.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Joel Ward |