Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.3% vs Berglund 46.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 63.6%
Defensive zone
Ward 65.1%
Neutral zone
Ward 50.8%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Ward
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ward
Berglund
Last 5: Ward 4-1 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Berglund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (96)
47.3% (792)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
42.5% (134)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
42.4% (33)
-6.3%
On power play, Ward has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Ward is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Ward shoots right. Berglund is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Ward
Berglund
Home
48.6% (74)
46.8% (477)
Away
48.9% (94)
45.7% (497)
By Period
Ward
Berglund
P1
43.4%
47.1%
P2
56.9%
46.3%
P3
46.4%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.8%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Joel Ward |