Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.7%). Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Berglund 48.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 65.1%
Defensive zone
Berglund 56.4%
Neutral zone
Berglund 56.3%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Ward
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Ward
Berglund
Last 10: Ward 6-4 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
4
1
Ward
Berglund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Ward
Berglund
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
49.0% (4,697)
+2.3%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
51.3% (548)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
43.2% (461)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Home / Away
Ward
Berglund
Home
50.3% (870)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
46.5% (921)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Ward
Berglund
P1
47.6%
49.3%
P2
47.5%
48.2%
P3
50.3%
49.0%
OT
30.8%
39.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Joel Ward |