Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.1% vs Johansen 54.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 72.3%
Defensive zone
Ward 83.1%
Neutral zone
Ward 76.7%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Ward
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Ward
Johansen
Last 9: Ward 1-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
6
Ward
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Ward
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (339)
54.0% (1,251)
-1.2%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
58.9% (158)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
55.6% (63)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Ward is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Ward shoots right. Johansen is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Ward
Johansen
Home
53.4% (251)
56.3% (746)
Away
43.4% (205)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Ward
Johansen
P1
49.4%
54.0%
P2
46.9%
53.8%
P3
50.3%
55.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |