Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Johansen 53.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 56.4%
Defensive zone
Ward 77.6%
Neutral zone
Ward 67.5%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Ward
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Ward
Johansen
Last 10: Ward 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
7
Ward
Johansen
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Ward
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
53.1% (11,017)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
56.2% (2,163)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
50.5% (978)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Ward shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Ward
Johansen
Home
50.3% (870)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
46.5% (921)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Ward
Johansen
P1
47.6%
53.2%
P2
47.5%
53.9%
P3
50.3%
52.8%
OT
30.8%
58.2%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |