Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 77.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 80.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 79.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Ward
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Ward
Kesler
Last 10: Ward 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
5
4
Ward
Kesler
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
4
2
Ward
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.1%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
60.7% (1,437)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
50.5% (1,908)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Ward shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Ward
Kesler
Home
50.3% (870)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
46.5% (921)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Ward
Kesler
P1
47.6%
56.5%
P2
47.5%
55.9%
P3
50.3%
56.1%
OT
30.8%
46.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Joel Ward |