Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 46.8% vs Couturier 47.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 54.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 57.6%
Neutral zone
Ward 53.7%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Ward
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Ward
Couturier
Last 9: Ward 4-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
2
Ward
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Ward
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (80)
48.5% (1,067)
+6.5%
Power Play
43.9% (57)
51.0% (51)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (62)
43.4% (235)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Ward is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Ward shoots right. Couturier is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (497).
Home / Away
Ward
Couturier
Home
50.9% (114)
49.4% (620)
Away
37.6% (85)
46.4% (733)
By Period
Ward
Couturier
P1
42.6%
47.1%
P2
38.5%
50.4%
P3
54.8%
45.5%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.8%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
45.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Joel Ward |