Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Couturier 52.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 55.9%
Defensive zone
Ward 55.3%
Neutral zone
Ward 57.7%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Ward
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Ward
Couturier
Last 10: Ward 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
5
Ward
Couturier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
5
Ward
Couturier
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
52.5% (11,063)
-1.2%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
59.7% (1,280)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
48.5% (1,816)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Ward
Couturier
Home
50.3% (870)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
46.5% (921)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Ward
Couturier
P1
47.6%
52.5%
P2
47.5%
52.6%
P3
50.3%
52.9%
OT
30.8%
49.4%
Final 5 min
45.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |