Scouting Report
Torrey Mitchell holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Ward wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 47.4% vs Mitchell 49.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 66.9%
Defensive zone
Ward 50.1%
Neutral zone
Ward 53.5%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Ward
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Ward
Mitchell
Last 8: Ward 3-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ward
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Ward
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ward
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (181)
50.3% (334)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
45.6% (57)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Ward is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Ward shoots right. Mitchell is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Ward
Mitchell
Home
40.7% (86)
50.0% (172)
Away
49.7% (145)
49.3% (219)
By Period
Ward
Mitchell
P1
55.7%
55.1%
P2
43.0%
46.6%
P3
42.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |