Scouting Report
Torrey Mitchell holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Mitchell 50.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 68.5%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 58.2%
Neutral zone
Ward 52.0%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Ward
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Ward
Mitchell
Last 10: Ward 5-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ward
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Ward
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
4
2
Ward
Mitchell
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
50.7% (2,523)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
54.3% (35)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
50.7% (473)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Ward shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Ward
Mitchell
Home
50.3% (870)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
46.5% (921)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Ward
Mitchell
P1
47.6%
54.8%
P2
47.5%
48.1%
P3
50.3%
49.6%
OT
30.8%
55.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Joel Ward |