Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +20.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ruutu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ward wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ruutu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 52.0% vs Ruutu 42.0% (+20.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 54.9%
Defensive zone
Ward 69.4%
Neutral zone
Ward 63.2%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Ward
Ruutu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ward
Ruutu
Last 5: Ward 3-2 Ruutu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ruutu
1
2
Ward
Ruutu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
2
0
Ward
Ruutu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Ruutu
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (43)
36.4% (88)
+21.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
32.4% (34)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Ruutu has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ruutu shoots left. Ward is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Ward shoots right. Ruutu is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Ward
Ruutu
Home
73.9% (23)
46.3% (67)
Away
41.4% (29)
22.8% (57)
By Period
Ward
Ruutu
P1
57.9%
30.6%
P2
57.1%
40.5%
P3
50.0%
34.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
55.8%
Ruutu
38.0%▲
36.5%
35.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Tuomo Ruutu |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Tuomo Ruutu |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Joel Ward |