Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ruutu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Ruutu 41.0% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 51.2%
Defensive zone
Ward 75.7%
Neutral zone
Ward 70.0%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Ward
Ruutu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ward
Ruutu
Last 7: Ward 4-3 Ruutu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ruutu
1
2
Ward
Ruutu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Ruutu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Ruutu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Ruutu
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
40.3% (688)
+11.0%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
37.8% (119)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
36.4% (11)
-0.9%
On power play, Ward has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ruutu shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Ruutu is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Ward
Ruutu
Home
50.3% (870)
42.2% (438)
Away
46.5% (921)
37.4% (388)
By Period
Ward
Ruutu
P1
47.6%
37.9%
P2
47.5%
40.7%
P3
50.3%
41.3%
OT
30.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Ruutu
38.0%▲
36.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Tuomo Ruutu |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Tuomo Ruutu |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Tuomo Ruutu |