Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 46.8% vs Smith 52.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 66.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 63.0%
Neutral zone
Ward 52.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Ward
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ward
Smith
Last 5: Ward 2-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
0
Ward
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Ward
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (80)
53.0% (1,048)
+2.0%
Power Play
43.9% (57)
57.4% (47)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (62)
50.0% (196)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Ward is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Ward shoots right. Smith is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Ward
Smith
Home
50.9% (114)
53.9% (629)
Away
37.6% (85)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Ward
Smith
P1
42.6%
50.4%
P2
38.5%
51.8%
P3
54.8%
56.4%
OT
28.6%
31.6%
Final 5 min
41.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
45.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Joel Ward |