Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Smith 50.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 63.6%
Defensive zone
Ward 59.8%
Neutral zone
Ward 63.5%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Ward
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Ward
Smith
Last 9: Ward 2-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
0
Ward
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
7
Ward
Smith
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
51.6% (5,265)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
51.2% (342)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
45.3% (985)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Ward
Smith
Home
50.3% (870)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
46.5% (921)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Ward
Smith
P1
47.6%
49.9%
P2
47.5%
50.0%
P3
50.3%
51.9%
OT
30.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |