Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Franzen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 57.8% vs Franzen 46.2% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 66.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 67.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 55.2%
Result
Johan Franzen favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Pavelski
Franzen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pavelski
Franzen
Last 5: Pavelski 2-3 Franzen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
0
2
Pavelski
Franzen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
0
1
Pavelski
Franzen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Franzen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Franzen
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (569)
44.4% (142)
+13.4%
Power Play
60.2% (161)
44.1% (34)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (121)
50.0% (2)
+9.5%
On power play, Pavelski has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Franzen shoots left. Pavelski is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Pavelski shoots right. Franzen is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Franzen
Home
61.0% (403)
45.3% (95)
Away
56.6% (461)
42.9% (84)
By Period
Pavelski
Franzen
P1
62.9%
44.1%
P2
56.6%
51.7%
P3
57.1%
36.5%
OT
57.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
58.7%
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |