Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Franzen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 49.0% vs Duchene 54.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Franzen leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 57.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 79.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 69.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Franzen
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Franzen
Duchene
Last 10: Franzen 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
3
Franzen
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Franzen
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Franzen
6
2
Franzen
Duchene
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (464)
53.9% (10,396)
-5.4%
Power Play
51.0% (149)
56.9% (1,665)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
49.1% (468)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Franzen is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Franzen shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Franzen
Duchene
Home
51.1% (368)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
45.6% (261)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Franzen
Duchene
P1
51.9%
54.5%
P2
50.0%
54.5%
P3
43.5%
53.4%
OT
52.9%
56.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |