Scouting Report
Johan Franzen holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 52.0% vs Elias 42.0% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 53.2%
Defensive zone
Elias 56.3%
Neutral zone
Elias 52.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Franzen
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Franzen
Elias
Last 6: Franzen 3-3 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
0
Franzen
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Franzen
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Franzen
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (149)
40.2% (562)
+12.1%
Power Play
54.3% (70)
49.3% (71)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
34.1% (44)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Franzen has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Franzen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Franzen shoots left. Elias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Home / Away
Franzen
Elias
Home
54.7% (150)
39.9% (318)
Away
49.3% (75)
41.5% (359)
By Period
Franzen
Elias
P1
57.8%
42.0%
P2
52.6%
38.6%
P3
48.6%
41.1%
OT
53.8%
45.2%
Final 5 min
66.7%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
52.9%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |