Scouting Report
Johan Franzen holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 49.0% vs Elias 42.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 60.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 70.2%
Neutral zone
Elias 57.9%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Franzen
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Franzen
Elias
Last 7: Franzen 3-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
0
Franzen
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Franzen
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
3
Franzen
Elias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (464)
42.3% (2,591)
+6.2%
Power Play
51.0% (149)
48.4% (405)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
36.0% (367)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Franzen has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Franzen is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Franzen shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Franzen
Elias
Home
51.1% (368)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
45.6% (261)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Franzen
Elias
P1
51.9%
41.1%
P2
50.0%
43.1%
P3
43.5%
43.0%
OT
52.9%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |