Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 49.0% vs Smith 50.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 77.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 68.4%
Neutral zone
Franzen 56.4%
Result
Johan Franzen favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Franzen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Franzen
Smith
Last 6: Franzen 2-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Franzen
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Franzen
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Franzen
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (464)
51.6% (5,265)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.0% (149)
51.2% (342)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
45.3% (985)
-2.4%
On even strength, Smith has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Franzen is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Franzen shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Franzen
Smith
Home
51.1% (368)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
45.6% (261)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Franzen
Smith
P1
51.9%
49.9%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
43.5%
51.9%
OT
52.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Zack Smith |