Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 44.0% vs Larsson 48.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 71.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 85.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 69.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Kempe
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kempe
Larsson
Last 5: Kempe 3-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
0
Kempe
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
Kempe
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (201)
48.4% (506)
-10.1%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
62.5% (24)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
44.9% (138)
+5.1%
On power play, Kempe has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Kempe is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Kempe shoots left. Larsson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Kempe
Larsson
Home
39.2% (102)
51.9% (335)
Away
43.0% (121)
44.4% (333)
By Period
Kempe
Larsson
P1
35.9%
48.7%
P2
37.2%
48.3%
P3
50.0%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.3%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |